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Lazio vs. Borussia Dortmund Predictions, Betting Tips and Previews

16 October 2020

Tuesday 20 October

Stadio Olimpico – Champions League

Erling Haaland scoring against Freiburg Source: (Action Press/Shutterstock)

Lazio host Borussia Dortmund at the Stadio Olimpico as the Champions League group stage begins on Tuesday evening. The Italians threatened a Scudetto challenge last season before falling short of Juventus, while the Germans are frequent contenders to Bayern Munich’s domestic dominance.

Past Meetings

The two sides have met just once, in a friendly back in 2018, in which Marco Reus scored the only goal of a game.

Team News

Simone Inzaghi is unlikely to make many changes to the side that has earned him success in Serie A. Ciro Immobile is suspended for the weekend’s league fixture so will be rested for Tuesday’s game, and will likely be partnered by Joaquin Correa over Felipe Caicedo. Luiz Felipe and Senad Lulic are both major injury doubts for the game.

Lucien Favre will likely make rotation at the weekend in order to start his strongest line-up in Rome. Jadon Sancho has only featured as a substitute this season but may return to the starting line-up, whilst Thomas Delaney may come in for Jude Bellingham to provide experience in the middle of the park. Dan-Axel Zagadou, Marcel Schmelzer and Thorgan Hazard are all sidelined through injury, but Roman Burki should be fit to start.

Lazio vs. Borussia Dortmund Predictions, Preview and Predictions

Borussia Dortmund get their Champions League campaign underway this week as they travel to Rome to face Lazio. The hosts are 3.25 to win, the visitors 3.90 and a draw is 2.10.

Favre’s side faced European disappointment last season as they were knocked out by PSG, despite winning the home leg due to an inspiring second-half comeback. Dortmund were unlucky to meet the eventual finalists so early in their campaign, and will be aiming to finish first in their group to avoid a repetition.

Dortmund’s major competition comes in the form of their opponents on Tuesday. Lazio had an even more disappointing season in European football last season, as they failed to even get out of the Europa League group stage. However, Inzaghi’s focus was undoubtedly on the league, and the Aquile managed to compete with Juventus for the Scudetto for the majority of the campaign.

Lazio’s biggest problem last year was squad depth, and the question remains whether they have a strong enough bench to challenge on two fronts. Immobile’s suspension means the star striker will be raring to go on Tuesday, but his deputy Vedat Muriqi has yet to prove himself and there are no replacements for the likes of Sergej Milikovic-Savic and Luis Alberto.

BVB do not have this issue, as further arrivals in the summer have provided an abundance of attacking players, despite only having one out-and-out centre-forward. At just 20, Erling Haaland is unlikely to miss much football, and the vast array out talent including the likes of Jadon Sancho, Thorgan Hazard, Marco Reus and Giovanni Reina provide more than enough firepower.

Instead Favre’s major issue has surrounded their defensive capabilities, with Mats Hummels pace a particular issue when not supported by fast defensive partners. With Ciro Immobile keen on sitting on the shoulder of centre-backs and waiting for balls in behind, Dortmund could well be vulnerable on Tuesday.

Recommended Bets

Over 2.5 goals scored at 1.50

Two high scoring teams should make for an entertaining match. Neither Lazio nor Dortmund play on the back foot, so an end-to-end encounter is in the offing.

Dortmund to win from behind at 7.00

Favre’s side made an impressive comeback last season and could repeat the feat on Tuesday. This is a Dortmund team that doesn’t know when it’s beaten.