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Italy vs. Spain Predictions, Betting Tips and Previews

06 July 2021

Tuesday 6 July

Wembley Stadium – Euro 2020

Lorenzo Insigne Source: - (Stuart Franklin/AP/Shutterstock)

Italy and Spain go head-to-head for a place in the Euro 2020 final when these two heavyweights lock horns in London on Tuesday night. It’s blue versus red and consistent versus erratic under the Wembley arch, with a huge prize at stake in the mobile online betting for this match.

Past Meetings

This will be the first time these countries meet in nearly four years. Spain took four points off Italy in qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, but the Azzurri knocked La Roja out of the last European Championship courtesy of a 2-0 victory in the round of 16. That gained a measure of revenge for Spain’s 4-0 triumph over the Italians in the Euro 2012 final, while La Roja also knocked Italy out of the previous Euros, eventually emerging from their quarter-final clash on penalties after a goalless draw at the end of 120 minutes.

Team News

Leonardo Spinazzola is out of this game after suffering what appears to be a serious Achilles injury late in Italy’s quarter-final victory over Belgium. The Roma left-back will be a big miss for the Azzurri after impressing throughout the tournament, with Chelsea’s Emerson Palmieri set to come into Roberto Mancini’s starting XI.

Spanish legs will be a little more tired after they went all the way to penalties in the last round. Luis Enrique should have a full complement of players available to him should he wish to make any changes to his line-up, with the Spanish coach potentially tempted to shuffle his pack in the final third after lacking a cutting edge in the quarters.

Italy vs. Spain Preview and Predictions

Italy and Spain have crossed paths many times in the European Championship, with this latest instalment of a keenly-fought rivalry providing both countries with the opportunity to reach the final of Euro 2020. The Italians are searching for only the second Euro success in their history over the coming days, while Spain have won this tournament three times before.

The Azzurri are the form team coming into this game, putting in a string of impressive performances to win all five games in this competition so far. Italy have scored 11 goals and conceded only two, overcoming the world’s top-ranked team in the quarter-finals, Belgium.

Mancini’s side were superb against the Belgians, scoring a pair of wonderful first-half goals and producing a strong rearguard performance in the second period. They look solid at the back and lively going forward, with Italy the 2.55 favourites in the betting for this semi-final.

The outcome of this game is likely to be decided by which team is clinical in front of goal. Ciro Immobile and Álvaro Morata have both struggled to provide a cutting edge at times, although Spain did score five times in consecutive matches against Slovakia and Croatia. They’ve netted 12 goals and conceded five to this point of the competition.

La Furia Roja must bare their teeth at Wembley on Tuesday, which they failed to do against Switzerland in the last round, scraping through on the back of a poor-quality penalty shootout. Spain are the 2.95 underdogs to win this game inside 90 minutes. A draw at the end of normal time is 3.20, taking the tie to an additional period with the potential for spot-kicks.

Recommended Bets

Italy to win to nil at 3.60

The Italians have been very tough to break down in this tournament. Belgium only managed to get on the scoresheet against them in the last round courtesy of a soft penalty, while Spain have struggled to convert their chances in three of their five games so far. Italy are 7.50 to win 1-0.

Over 4.5 goals at 7.50

On the other hand, Spain rattled in a glut of goals in their other two games, while Italy have found the net on three occasions twice so far - the only two times they’ve done that in the Euros in their history. A 3-2 victory for the Azzurri is priced at 29.00.