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Italy vs. England Predictions, Betting Tips and Previews

09 July 2021

Sunday 11 July

Wembley Stadium – Euro 2020

Harry Kane scores the winning goal against Denmark to put England into the Euro 2020 final Source: ( Maurizio Borsari/AFLO/Shutterstock)

Italy face England at Wembley on Sunday evening in the final of the 2020 European Championship. The Azzurri are slight underdogs in the betting despite a strong tournament, with the Three Lions enjoying home advantage at their national stadium which will be bouncing in this showpiece.

Past Meetings

The last meeting between the sides was in a 2018 friendly, which ended in a 1-1 draw as both Jamie Vardy and Lorenzo Insigne got their names on the scoresheet. These countries have played each other four times in major tournaments, with Italy victorious on each occasion. The most recent of those was at the 2014, when Italy beat England 2-1 in the opening round of group fixtures.

Team News

Leonardo Spinazzola was sorely missed by Roberto Mancini in Italy’s last game, with Emerson Palmieri offering less offensively. After a gruelling 120 minutes of football against Spain, the Azzurri coach might make to look some changes with Federico Chiesa looking particularly fatigued.

Gareth Southgate has his full squad available, but may not look to make many changes from the Denmark match. Mason Mount will likely retain his position due to his defensive capabilities, whilst Jadon Sancho, Jack Grealish and Phil Foden will hope to challenge Bukayo Saka for a starting role.

Italy vs. England Preview and Predictions

England play in their first final since 1966 on Sunday night, but come up against a strong Italy side for the Euro 2020 trophy. Both countries were forced to play into extra-time in the semi-finals, with Southgate’s side grinding out a win against Denmark and the Azzurri beating Spain on penalties.

On paper, the final is likely to be well balanced with both teams full of world-class players across the pitch. Italy have without a doubt been the best team in the competition, beating the likes of Belgium and Spain to get to the final. However, they looked lethargic and tired at times against La Roja in the last round.

Mancini’s midfield has been the beating heart of the team and with Jorginho’s creative rhythm disrupted by Pedri, the Chelsea maestro was unable to set the tempo. This is something that Southgate will undoubtedly have his eye on with England’s own midfield duo fulfilling a very different role, disrupting rather than creating.

The two diverse systems should make for an interesting match with Spin Sports online football betting placing England as the narrow favourites. Southgate’s side are 1.85 to ensure that football finally does come home after 55 years of hurt. The Azzurri may have tasted victory more recently, in 2006, but are only 1.95 to lift the trophy.

Recommended Bets

A draw at full time at 3.00

Both sides will be tired after semi-finals and may look to avoid taking overt risks, with this final expected to be a tight and cagey affair.

Harry Kane to score first at 4.50

The England captain appears to have played himself back into form at just the right moment and will be a real threat again after settling his country’s semi-final.