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Chelsea vs. Real Madrid Predictions, Betting Tips and Previews

30 April 2021

Wednesday 5 April

Stamford Bridge – Champions League

Raphael Varane and Mason Mount in action in the first leg Source: (Bagu Blanco/BPI/Shutterstock)

Chelsea welcome Real Madrid to Stamford Bridge for the second leg of their Champions League semi-final tie. The result is well balanced after the match at the Alfredo di Stefano with the Blues holding the away-goal advantage.

Past Meetings

Christian Pulisic opened the scoring with a high-class solo effort last Tuesday, only for an equally spectacular bicycle kick from Karim Benzema to level the score.

This fixture will be Madrid’s first visit to Stamford Bridge since a 1971 European Cup Winners’ Cup tie that eneded 1-1. Chelsea won 2-1 in the replay in Madrid two days later.

Team News

Thomas Tuchel opted for a conservative approach with Cesar Azpilicueta operating at right-wing-back in the reverse fixture. The manager may look to stick with his back five but could replace the ineffective Timo Werner with the added hight of Kai Havertz for the second leg. Mateo Kovacic is the only injury absence.

Real Madrid captain Sergio Ramos may be fit to return for Wednesday’s match potentially replacing Nacho in a back three. Zinedine Zidane may move away from his five-man defence, instead returning to his more standard 4-3-3 shape. Lucas Vazquez and Ferland Mendy both miss out at full-back but Federico Valverde may return dependent on a negative COVID-19 test.

Chelsea vs. Real Madrid Preview and Predictions

Real Madrid travel to London on Wednesday needing to score against Chelsea in order to secure passage to the Champions League semi-finals. The Blues have been notoriously hard to break down at Stamford Bridge since Tuchel took over, conceeding in only two matches in all competitions.

Spin Sports’ online football betting sees Real Madrid as underdogs to progress to the next round at 2.30 to do so. Chelsea are expected to hold their own against the record Champions League holders and are favourites at 1.60 to earn their place in the semi-finals. For the result on the night, Chelsea are 2.20 to win, with the draw at 3.35 and Madrid at 3.40.

The first leg of this tie was atypical of both teams in recent months. Madrid failed to create much despite dominating possession but handed plenty of opporunities to their visitors, who looked open at the back but highly effective up front. Only Timo Werner’s poor finishing stopped Chelsea from being 2-0 up at half-time, after which Zidane’s side improved defensively.

Wednesday’s match is unlikely to follow that pattern, with Tuchel expected to discourage his side from pushing forward, instead looking to protect a lead. This is a risky move however, as seen in the match against Porto, who scored the only goal of the game in injury time. Whereas this did not effect the result on the night, a single goal would see Madrid win the tie.

Real Madrid are arguably the most effective attacking unit that Chelsea have faced this season, even with the Blues preventing Manchester City from scoring in recent weeks. As a result, the hosts may well have to provide an offensive threat in order to avoid the risk of conceeding a knockout blow.

Recommended Bets

No goals in the first half at 2.50

Neither side will want to concede early with the game likely to open up in the second period. The advantage is with the home side, but only just.

Under 2.5 goals at 1.66

A goalless draw would do for the hosts who are unlikely to break Madrid down should they go behind. Keeping a clean sheet – and holding on to their away goal advantage – is crucial for Chelsea.